Our record
Every call, right and wrong.
Published before kick-off, scored against exactly what was published, and never edited afterwards. The misses stay up.
Compare like with like
A match-win call, a call that a named team will not win, and a qualification call describe different events. Their success rates have different baselines. The combined percentage does not establish predictive superiority.
| Published event | Calls | Right | Wrong | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match win | 88 | 53 | 35 | 60% |
| Named team will not win | 80 | 65 | 15 | 81% |
| Qualification | 18 | 15 | 3 | 83% |
These are live headline-event counts. The historical probability evaluation below is a separate test, against competition base rates.
By week
| Week | Days | Calls | Right | Wrong | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 6 Sep | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% |
| 7–13 Sep | 7 | 174 | 124 | 50 | 71% |
By competition
| Competition | Calls | Right | Wrong | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 14 | 12 | 2 | 86% |
| CAF Champions League | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% |
| Championship | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% |
| Eredivisie | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% |
| Segunda División | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% |
| Serie A | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% |
| Bundesliga | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% |
| La Liga | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% |
| Saudi Pro League | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% |
| Premier League | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% |
| Super League 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% |
| Jupiler Pro League | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% |
| Ligue 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% |
| Primeira Liga | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% |
| CAF Confederation Cup | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% |
| Cypriot First Division | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% |
| Serie B | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% |
| Süper Lig | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| Eliteserien | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% |
| 2. Bundesliga | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% |
| Liga Profesional | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% |
| Superliga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% |
| UAE Pro League | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% |
| 5 other competitions, fewer than 3 calls each | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% |
Which ones
EFL Cup (2 of 2), Scottish Premiership (2 of 2), Ukrainian Premier League (2 of 2), de.2 (0 of 1), ua.1 (1 of 1).
Day by day
Sunday 13 September 41 of 53
Manchester City had a man sent off in the 23rd, with the match still level and most of the match to play. Manchester United had 16 shots to Manchester City's 6, 3 on target.
- ✓Manchester City hold more of the ball than most in this division, create more shots, and allow fewer.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed.
Coventry had a man sent off in the 53rd, with it 0-2 and most of the match to play. Brighton were three up by the 70th.
- ✗Coventry get 17 shots a game, more than most in their division last season.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Little between them on chances: 13 shots to 12. Joan García made 4 saves for Barcelona.
- ✗Barcelona control games rather than trade them: more of the ball than most in this division, more shots, and fewer allowed.
3 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Celta Vigo led in the 41st and were pegged back, conceding once in the 83rd. Alfonso Herrero made 4 saves for Malaga.
- ✓Celta Vigo are without Iglesias, Febas and two others; their attack is measurably thinner than it was.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
Atletico Madrid were three up by the 90th. Atletico Madrid had 13 shots to Real Sociedad's 8, 5 on target.
- ✗Atlético Madrid win five corners a game, more than most in La Liga.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Getafe scored first, in the 66th; Deportivo La Coruna levelled it in the 78th. P. Aubameyang (Deportivo La Coruna) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
- ✗Getafe take nine shots a game, fewer than most sides in La Liga and a constraint on their attacking threat.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 1 points showed.
Napoli had 15 shots to Bologna's 5, 3 on target. Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.6.
- ✓Bologna are without Orsolini, Zortea and two others, which thins their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
Sassuolo scored in the 89th, late enough that there was no time to answer it. Sassuolo won it in added time.
- ✓Juventus control games rather than trade them: more of the ball, more shots, fewer allowed.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Monza had 19 shots to Lecce's 7, 11 on target. Wladimiro Falcone made 8 saves for Lecce.
- ✓Monza are without Ciurria, Pessina and three others; that hole is already cut into the figures above.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said held.
Bayern München had 28 shots to SV Elversberg's 5, 6 on target. H. Kane (Bayern München) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 9.0.
RB Leipzig were three up by the 72nd. RB Leipzig had 19 shots to Hamburger SV's 10, 6 on target.
- ✓RB Leipzig are without Baumgartner and Reitz, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
Lille had 13 shots to Estac Troyes's 8, 6 on target. P. Beach made 4 saves for Estac Troyes.
- ✓Estac Troyes are without Ifnaoui, Titi and three others, which thins their attack.
- ✓Lille give up nine shots a game, fewer than most in Ligue 1, so Estac Troyes face a difficult task to score.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
All 2 showed.
Little between them on chances: 16 shots to 15. M. Safonov made 5 saves for Paris Saint Germain.
- ✗Paris Saint Germain control games rather than trade them: more of the ball, more shots, fewer allowed.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Lens levelled it in the 51st. E. Hatfout made 4 saves for Le Mans.
- ✓Le Mans are without Colas, Buades and four others; their attack is already weakened in our forecast.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held.
Sparta Rotterdam led in the 15th and lost it. PSV Eindhoven were three up by the 88th.
Utrecht won it in added time. Little between them on chances: 10 shots to 12.
Wolves won it in the 90th. Wolves had 17 shots to Sheffield Utd's 6, 3 on target.
T. Nozawa made 6 saves for Antwerp. Jan Virgili (Club Brugge KV) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
- ✓Club Brugge KV take 22 shots a game, more than most teams in the Jupiler Pro League.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Holstein Kiel had a man sent off in the 50th, with the match still level and most of the match to play. 1. FC Heidenheim won it in the 83rd.
- ✗1. FC Heidenheim give up 15 shots a game, more than most in their division last season.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
J. Krumrey made 4 saves for VfL Osnabrück. J. Gómez (VfL Osnabrück) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.0.
Energie Cottbus were three up by the 62nd. H. Bernat made 7 saves for Karlsruher SC.
- ✓Karlsruher SC give up sixteen shots a game, more than most in the division.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Silkeborg scored first, in the 11th; Viborg levelled it in the 56th. K. Kiilerich made 4 saves for Viborg.
- ✗Viborg get sixteen shots a game, more than most in the Superliga.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Lyngby scored first, in the 6th; Sonderjyske levelled it in the 75th. Little between them on chances: 19 shots to 18.
Guille Rosas (Sporting Gijon) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.5. Wrong on the day, not on the read: Sporting Gijon had 12 shots and put 3 on target.
Viking were three up by the 20th. Viking had 28 shots to Kristiansund BK's 12, 13 on target.
- ✓Kristiansund BK have had less of the ball than most in the Eliteserien.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Heerenveen had 23 shots to Telstar's 12, 6 on target. R. Koeman made 6 saves for Telstar.
Polessya scored first, in the 37th, and were never behind. The reading held.
Simba scored first, in the 8th, and were never behind. Simba were three up by the 34th.
Randers FC made a change in the 21st, which is early for a substitution. Nikolai Soyset Hopland was sent off for Randers FC in added time.
- ✗Odense give up seventeen shots a game, more than most in the Superliga.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome also differed from the reading.
Little between them on chances: 15 shots to 16. Andreas Gianniotis made 4 saves for Kasımpaşa.
- ✗Kasımpaşa get six shots a game, fewer than most in the Süper Lig.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 1 points showed.
Gent scored first, in the 10th; Genk levelled it in the 47th. Little between them on chances: 17 shots to 16.
- ✗Genk get nineteen shots a game, more than most sides in the Jupiler Pro League.
3 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Oviedo were three up by the 56th. Little between them on chances: 13 shots to 12.
- ✗Valladolid give up nine shots a game, fewer than most in the Segunda División.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Feyenoord were three up by the 40th. Feyenoord had 26 shots to PEC Zwolle's 6, 11 on target.
- ✓PEC Zwolle are without Namli, Floranus and two others, already reflected in the figures above.
- ✓PEC Zwolle take eleven shots a game, fewer than most sides in the Eredivisie, which reflects the strain on their attack.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
All 2 showed.
Durban City scored first, in the 1st, and were never behind. The reading held.
Diarra led and were pegged back in the 84th. The reading held.
San-Pédro scored first, in the 14th. San-Pédro led and were pegged back in the 88th.
Aalesund had 19 shots to KFUM Oslo's 9, 3 on target. H. M. Reed (Aalesund) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.1.
Volos NFC led in the 26th and lost it. I. Gelios made 4 saves for Kalamata.
- ✗Volos NFC take a smaller share of their shots from inside the box than most in the Super League 1.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 1 points showed.
Molde scored first, in the 5th. Molde were three up by the 84th.
- ✓Molde are without Hestad, Stenevik and six others — a big hole in their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
M. Dyngeland made 4 saves for Brann. O. Toure (Start) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
- ✓Brann win six corners a game, more than most in the Eliteserien.
- ✓Brann are without Holm, Gudmundsson and four others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
All 2 showed. The match still went the other way.
Avellino scored first, in the 60th; Palermo levelled it in the 63rd. Avellino had 15 shots to Palermo's 9, 5 on target.
- ✗Palermo win five corners a game, more than most in Serie B.
- ✗Palermo get 14 shots a game, more than most in Serie B.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
None of the 2 showed. The outcome still matched the reading.
Mantova scored first, in the 58th, and were never behind. F. Ruocco (Mantova) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
FC Nordsjaelland scored first, in the 76th, and were never behind. J. Lähteenmäki (FC Nordsjaelland) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.7.
- ✓FC Nordsjaelland have had more of the ball than most in this division, while Aarhus's opponents usually have less.
- ✓Aarhus are without Yakob, Poulsen and three others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
No call was published; what we said showed.
Horoya scored a penalty in the 17th, through Y. Barry. Horoya scored in the 90th, late enough that there was no time to answer it.
Goalless. No call was published; the sides were too close to separate.
AEK Athens FC led in the 21st and were pegged back, conceding once in the 31st. AEK Athens FC had 21 shots to Asteras Tripolis's 13, 3 on target.
- ✓AEK Athens FC control games rather than trade them: more of the ball than most in this division, more shots, and fewer allowed.
- ✓AEK Athens FC win five corners a game, more than most in the Super League 1.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
All 2 showed. The match still went the other way.
Pafos scored first, in the 62nd, and were never behind. The reading held.
NEOM had a man sent off in added time, with the match still level and most of the match to play. NEOM had 21 shots to Al-Fateh's 13, 6 on target.
Arnau Tenas made 4 saves for Mallorca. Fuentes (Mallorca) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 9.1.
Charleroi scored first, in the 29th, and were never behind. Little between them on chances: 15 shots to 15.
GIL Vicente led in the 7th and lost it. Benfica had 17 shots to GIL Vicente's 4, 5 on target.
- ✓Benfica control games rather than trade them: more of the ball, more shots, and fewer allowed.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Santa Clara had a man sent off in the 85th, with it 1-2. Little between them on chances: 10 shots to 12.
- ✓Santa Clara give up ten shots a game, fewer than most in the Primeira Liga.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said showed.
Omonia 29is Maiou scored first, in the 30th. Omonia 29is Maiou led and were pegged back in added time.
CS Sfaxien scored first, in the 27th, and were never behind. The reading held.
Galatasaray had 29 shots to Kocaelispor's 12, 9 on target. Serhat Öztaşdelen made 8 saves for Kocaelispor.
- ✓Kocaelispor are without Petkovic and Rivas, which thins their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
Pyramids FC scored first, in the 27th, and were never behind. Pyramids FC were three up by the 45th.
An own goal in added time put Amed ahead. Amed were three up by the 55th.
- ✗Başakşehir get fourteen shots a game, more than most sides in the Süper Lig.
It did not show. The outcome also differed from the reading.
Goalless. No call was published; the sides were too close to separate.
RAAL La Louvière were three up by the 85th. RAAL La Louvière had 17 shots to Kortrijk's 10, 6 on target.
Fredrikstad scored first, in the 19th; Sarpsborg 08 FF levelled it in the 28th. Fredrikstad had 14 shots to Sarpsborg 08 FF's 6, 11 of them from inside the box.
- ✓Sarpsborg 08 FF win four corners a game, fewer than most sides manage in the division.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Belgrano Cordoba had 17 shots to Sarmiento Junin's 9, 7 on target. T. Ayala made 6 saves for Sarmiento Junin.
- ✓Sarmiento Junin give up 13 shots a game, more than most, and this vulnerability could undo their home record.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Rosario Central had a man sent off in the 76th, with it 0-1. Little between them on chances: 13 shots to 12.
- ✓Tigre have had less of the ball than most in the Liga Profesional, limiting their control.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said showed.
C. Mbemba (Al Diriyah) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.3. A draw. Al Diriyah needed a goal more and did not find it.
Al Riyadh scored first, in the 65th, and were never behind. R. Abascal (Al Riyadh) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.0.
- ✓Al Riyadh have had less of the ball than most in the Saudi Pro League.
- ✗Al Kholood win four corners a game, fewer than most in the Saudi Pro League.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
1 of 2 showed; the outcome differed from the reading.
Kifisia had 10 shots to Levadiakos's 5, 4 on target. N. Eliasi made 4 saves for Levadiakos.
- ✗Kifisia win four corners a game, fewer than most in the Super League 1.
- ✓Kifisia give up eight shots a game, fewer than most sides in the Super League 1.
1 of 2 showed; the outcome matched the reading.
Little between them on chances: 13 shots to 15. Ricardo Velho made 4 saves for Aris Thessalonikis.
- ✗PAOK give up eight shots a game, fewer than most in the Super League 1.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Panathinaikos were three up by the 90th. Panathinaikos had 12 shots to Panetolikos's 3, 5 on target.
Little between them on chances: 11 shots to 10. Enric Gallego (Tenerife) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
Sporting CP led in the 81st and were pegged back, conceding once in added time. Roméo Beney was sent off for Famalicao in the 87th.
Gimnasia L.P. scored first, in the 26th; Argentinos JRS levelled it in the 74th. Argentinos JRS had a man sent off in the 41st, with it 0-1 and most of the match to play.
Saturday 12 September 40 of 64
Crystal Palace led in the 14th and lost it. Crystal Palace had a man sent off in the 34th, with the match still level and most of the match to play.
J. Jacquet (Liverpool) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.5. A draw. Liverpool needed a goal more and did not find it.
- ✗Liverpool win seven corners a game, more than most in the Premier League.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome also differed from the reading.
Sunderland finished with ten after a red card in added time, by which time it was already 0-1. Little between them on chances: 12 shots to 11.
Chelsea levelled it in the 66th. Little between them on chances: 12 shots to 14.
- ✓Chelsea win seven corners a game, more than most sides in the Premier League.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Nottingham Forest had 22 shots to Aston Villa's 7, 7 on target. Z. Suzuki made 5 saves for Aston Villa.
- ✓Nottingham Forest have held less of the ball than most sides in the Premier League this season.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Brentford levelled it in the 56th. Bournemouth had 20 shots to Brentford's 8, 10 on target.
- ✗Bournemouth win seven corners a game, more than most in the Premier League.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 1 points showed.
Little between them on chances: 14 shots to 12. A. Robertson (Tottenham) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.3.
- ✓Tottenham give up chances from close in at a rate above the Premier League norm, a structural weakness.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said showed.
Real Madrid were three up by the 35th. E. Audero made 7 saves for Rayo Vallecano.
Athletic Club had 19 shots to Elche's 3, 3 on target. I. Williams (Athletic Club) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.6.
- ✓Athletic Club are without Guruzeta, Canales and two others, a big hole in their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
Espanyol scored inside 15 minutes — in the 3rd — so Osasuna were chasing the game from the start. Osasuna had 11 shots to Espanyol's 6, 4 on target.
Racing Santander had a man sent off in the 89th, with it 2-1. Julen Agirrezabala made 7 saves for Racing Santander.
Cagliari scored a penalty in the 61st, through D. Maldini. Atalanta had 22 shots to Cagliari's 5, 4 on target.
- ✗Atalanta win six corners a game, more than most in Serie A, though corners alone do not win matches.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome also differed from the reading.
Genoa had a man sent off in the 86th, with it 1-1. Justin Bijlow made 5 saves for Genoa.
- ✓Frosinone win five corners a game, more than most sides in their division last season.
- ✓Frosinone get fourteen shots a game, more than most in their division last season.
No call was published; what we said showed.
AC Milan levelled it in the 67th. AC Milan had 16 shots to Lazio's 8, 7 on target.
- ✓Lazio win four corners a game, fewer than most in Serie A.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed.
Borussia Dortmund were three up by the 89th. N. Noll made 5 saves for SC Paderborn 07.
- ✗Borussia Dortmund give up nine shots a game, fewer than most in the Bundesliga, but one mistake opens the door.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
LNZ Cherkasy scored first, in the 10th, and were never behind. The reading held.
VfL Bochum led in the 16th and were pegged back, conceding once in the 71st. VfL Bochum made a change in the 30th, which is early for a substitution.
- ✓VfL Bochum win four corners a game, fewer than most in the 2. Bundesliga.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Dynamo Dresden levelled it in the 72nd. R. Hoffmann made 4 saves for Eintracht Braunschweig.
1. FC Magdeburg were three up by the 53rd. J. Krahl made 7 saves for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- ✗1. FC Kaiserslautern get nine shots a game, fewer than most in the 2. Bundesliga.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 1 points showed.
QPR scored first, in the 38th; West Brom levelled it in the 41st. West Brom had 12 shots to QPR's 4, 5 on target.
- ✓QPR are without Kone, Kemper and four others, a loss that has already shaped our attacking figures above.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
Derby led in the 40th and lost it. Little between them on chances: 18 shots to 19.
- ✗Birmingham give up twelve shots a game, fewer than most in the Championship, and carry defensive strength into this fixture.
- ✗Derby are without Bilbija, Morris and six others — a big hole in their attack — already in the figures above.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 0 of the 2 points showed.
Bolton won it in the 90th. Cardiff had 17 shots to Bolton's 7, 10 on target.
- ✓Cardiff are without Davies, Chambers and three others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said held.
Real Sociedad II scored inside 15 minutes — in the 11th — so FC Andorra were chasing the game from the start. Aitor Fraga made 6 saves for Real Sociedad II.
- ✓FC Andorra control games rather than trade them, holding more possession and shots while allowing fewer.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Tusker scored first, in the 62nd, and were never behind. Wrong. The score is the whole of what we can say.
Sudtirol led and were pegged back in the 88th. Modena had 18 shots to Sudtirol's 11, 8 on target.
Young Africans scored first, in the 7th, and were never behind. The reading held.
Vicenza Virtus scored first, in the 52nd; Juve Stabia levelled it in the 78th. Juve Stabia had 14 shots to Vicenza Virtus's 7, 7 on target.
- ✗Juve Stabia get nine shots a game, fewer than most in Serie B, so may struggle to create.
- ✗Juve Stabia win four corners a game, fewer than most in Serie B, yet still sit close on goals expected.
No call was published; 0 of the 2 points showed.
Al Merreikh scored first, in the 51st, and were never behind. Wrong. The score is the whole of what we can say.
Goalless. The reading held.
Ascoli had 20 shots to Padova's 11, 5 on target. A. Sorrentino made 5 saves for Padova.
- ✓Padova give up 16 shots a game, more than most in Serie B, which leaves room for Ascoli to threaten.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Al Hilal Omdurman scored first, in the 43rd, and were never behind. The reading held.
1899 Hoffenheim scored inside 15 minutes — in the 13th — so VfB Stuttgart were chasing the game from the start. F. Bredlow made 6 saves for VfB Stuttgart.
- ✗Hoffenheim win seven corners a game, more than most in the Bundesliga.
- ✓Hoffenheim get seventeen shots a game, more than most in the Bundesliga.
1 of 2 showed; the outcome differed from the reading.
Bayer Leverkusen levelled it in the 89th. Bayer Leverkusen had 30 shots to FC Augsburg's 8, 5 on target.
FSV Mainz 05 had 18 shots to Eintracht Frankfurt's 11, 5 on target. N. Atubolu made 4 saves for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Borussia Mönchengladbach had a man sent off in the 52nd, with it 2-0 and most of the match to play. SC Freiburg had 19 shots to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 5, 9 on target.
Stoke City had 18 shots to Watford's 6, 6 on target. F. Ravaglia made 4 saves for Watford.
- ✓Watford are without Bola, Baah and five others, thinning the attack already in our analysis.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said held.
Norwich led in the 1st and lost it. Middlesbrough won it in added time.
- ✓Middlesbrough control games rather than trade them: more possession and shots than most, fewer conceded.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Millwall scored from the spot in the 51st. Little between them on chances: 18 shots to 16.
L. Vigouroux made 5 saves for Swansea. A. Idah (Swansea) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.9.
- ✓Burnley are without Satpaev, Bruun Larsen and four others; the absences gut their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
Lillestrom scored first, in the 25th, and were never behind. Valerenga had 17 shots to Lillestrom's 7, 3 on target.
- ✓Valerenga get fifteen shots a game, more than most sides in the Eliteserien.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said showed.
Çorum FK scored inside 15 minutes — in the 1st — so Samsunspor were chasing the game from the start. Çorum FK were three up by the 69th.
- ✓Samsunspor are without Watt, Tavsan and five others, a big hole in their attack.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
SK Beveren scored a penalty in the 52nd, through Chris Lokesa. Little between them on chances: 11 shots to 11.
Little between them on chances: 10 shots to 9. M. Pack (Portsmouth) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.2.
Lincoln scored in the 81st, late enough that there was no time to answer it. Little between them on chances: 11 shots to 9.
- ✓Lincoln are without Melia, Darikwa and one other, which thins their attack.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
TP Mazembe scored first, in the 3rd, and were never behind. The reading held.
Rizespor had a man sent off in the 44th, with it 0-1 and most of the match to play. Eyüpspor had 26 shots to Rizespor's 9, 5 on target.
- ✗Rizespor win five corners a game, more than most in the Süper Lig.
- ✗Eyüpspor get eleven shots a game, fewer than most in the Süper Lig.
No call was published; 0 of the 2 points showed.
Southampton were three up by the 85th. Bristol City had 21 shots to Southampton's 10, 6 on target.
Las Palmas had 20 shots to Cadiz's 7, 5 on target. Jokin Ezkieta made 4 saves for Cadiz.
- ✓Cadiz give up 13 shots a game, more than most in the Segunda División, and Las Palmas exploit that.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed.
Twente had 24 shots to ADO Den Haag's 10, 12 on target. K. Nikiéma made 10 saves for ADO Den Haag.
Alverca scored first, in the 34th, and were never behind. Renato Bellucci made 4 saves for Nacional.
Goalless. The reading held.
Catanzaro won it in the 83rd. Catanzaro had 20 shots to Carrarese's 11, 9 of them from inside the box.
Strasbourg scored first, in the 52nd; Monaco levelled it in the 71st. Little between them on chances: 13 shots to 12.
- ✓Monaco are without Balogun, Fati and two others — a big hole in their attack — already in the figures above.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said held.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC were three up by the 43rd. Mailson made 5 saves for Al Taawon.
- ✓Al-Hilal Saudi FC control games rather than trade them: more ball, more shots, fewer conceded.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Djoliba scored first, in the 16th. Djoliba led and were pegged back in the 83rd.
Anorthosis scored from the spot in the 26th. Anorthosis won it in the 90th.
Goalless. No call was published; the sides were too close to separate.
Karmiotissa led and were pegged back in the 88th. The reading held.
N. Christogeorgos made 4 saves for OFI. K. Kodro (OFI) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.0.
- ✓Olympiakos Piraeus control games: more of the ball than most in this division, more shots, fewer allowed.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni won it by a goal. No call was published; the sides were too close to separate.
Rosenborg scored first, in the 3rd, and were never behind. J. Haugaard made 5 saves for Tromso.
- ✓Rosenborg are without Islamovic, Fossum and three others, a significant loss to their attacking options.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said held.
Kitara scored first, in the 30th, and were never behind. The reading held.
Little between them on chances: 10 shots to 12. A. Jungdal made 4 saves for KVC Westerlo.
- ✓KVC Westerlo give up chances from close in, a bigger share than most sides face in the Jupiler Pro League.
3 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
No call was published; what we said showed.
Granada CF led and were pegged back in the 81st. Granada CF had 11 shots to Albacete's 6, 3 on target.
- ✓Albacete have less of the ball than most sides in the Segunda División.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
1. FC Köln scored first, in the 11th; Werder Bremen levelled it in the 69th. Little between them on chances: 15 shots to 14.
- ✓Werder Bremen are without Stage, Njinmah and three others — a big hole in their attack — already in the figures above.
It held.
Girona led in the 7th and lost it. Girona had a man sent off in the 52nd, with it 1-0 and most of the match to play.
- ✓Castellón take fifteen shots a game, more than most sides in the Segunda División.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Groningen led and were pegged back in the 82nd. GO Ahead Eagles had 24 shots to Groningen's 4, 6 on target.
Diambars scored first, in the 37th, and were never behind. The reading held.
Goalless. A draw. Omonia Nicosia needed a goal more and did not find it.
Konyaspor scored inside 15 minutes — in the 2nd — so Trabzonspor were chasing the game from the start. Bahadır Han Güngördü made 4 saves for Konyaspor.
- ✓Konyaspor win four corners a game, fewer than most in the Süper Lig.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It showed. The match still went the other way.
Casa Pia led in the 43rd and lost it. FC Porto were three up by the 90th.
Alanyaspor levelled it in the 75th. Rhaldney (Göztepe) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.6.
Cremonese had 19 shots to Cesena's 8, 6 on target. F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.5.
- ✓Cesena give up fourteen shots a game, more than most in Serie B.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It showed.
Aldosivi had 25 shots to Independ. Rivadavia's 15, 9 on target. Nicolás Bolcato made 6 saves for Independ. Rivadavia.
Estudiantes L.P. won it in added time. J. Cozzani made 8 saves for Platense.
Atromitos scored first, in the 24th; Iraklis 1908 levelled it in the 73rd. S. Tsiloulis (Atromitos) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.0.
Ajax were three up by the 79th. Ajax had 27 shots to Fortuna Sittard's 8, 11 on target.
Al Shabab had 14 shots to Al-Fayha's 5, 3 on target. M. Diaw (Al Shabab) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.2.
- ✗Al-Fayha give up fifteen shots a game, more than most sides in the Saudi Pro League.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome still matched the reading.
Al-Nassr had 15 shots to Al Khaleej Saihat's 5, 10 of them from inside the box. Omar Mascarell (Al Khaleej Saihat) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.9.
FC St. Pauli won it in the 88th. FC St. Pauli had 18 shots to VfL Wolfsburg's 10, 4 on target.
Le Havre had 15 shots to Angers's 9, 6 on target. Anthony Lopes made 6 saves for Angers.
D. Greif made 4 saves for Lyon. D. Greif (Lyon) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.3.
OH Leuven led and were pegged back in added time. D. Opoku (OH Leuven) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.5.
- ✓Cercle Brugge take more shots than most in the league despite holding less possession than most.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held.
Union St. Gilloise were three up by the 65th. Union St. Gilloise had 28 shots to Lommel United's 11, 12 on target.
Little between them on chances: 11 shots to 12. M. Diop made 4 saves for Auxerre.
- ✗Nice get nine shots a game, fewer than most in Ligue 1.
- ✓Auxerre are without Fofana, Okoh and three others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
No call was published; 1 of the 2 points showed.
Toulouse levelled it in the 68th. C. Cásseres (Toulouse) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.6.
- ✗Toulouse have had less of the ball than most sides in Ligue 1.
- ✗Toulouse take a smaller share of their shots from inside the box than most in Ligue 1.
No call was published; 0 of the 2 points showed.
Cambuur had 16 shots to NEC Nijmegen's 10, 7 on target. N. Polster made 4 saves for NEC Nijmegen.
Almeria had a man sent off in added time, with it 0-2. Cordoba had 20 shots to Almeria's 4, 4 on target.
Alioune Ndoye was sent off for Vitória SC in added time. Vitória SC had 22 shots to Academico Viseu's 11, 7 on target.
- ✗Vitória SC give up ten shots a game, fewer than most in the Primeira Liga.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not show. The outcome also differed from the reading.
Atletico Tucuman had a man sent off in the 13th, with the match still level and most of the match to play. Atletico Tucuman finished with ten after a red card in the 76th, by which time it was already 0-1.
Friday 11 September 11 of 14
Sevilla won it in the 81st. Sevilla had 13 shots to Valencia's 3, 4 on target.
- ✓Valencia are without Rioja, Sadiq and four others, already shapes the one-nil lean forecast.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It held.
Venezia led in the 22nd and lost it. Fiorentina had 19 shots to Venezia's 11, 10 on target.
- ✗Venezia control games rather than trade them: more of the ball, more shots, fewer allowed.
2 other points on the card were not tested by this result.
It did not hold. The outcome still matched the reading.
Little between them on chances: 20 shots to 19. L. Karius made 7 saves for FC Schalke 04.
- ✓Schalke give up chances from close in: a bigger share of the shots they face come from inside the box than most here.
- ✓Union Berlin are without Ilic, Burke and three others — a big hole in their attack — already in the figures above.
- ✗Schalke give up 11 shots a game, fewer than most in their division last season.
2 of 3 held; the outcome differed from the reading.
J. de Lange made 6 saves for Marseille. A. Thomasson (Rennes) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
AZ Alkmaar led in the 32nd and were pegged back, conceding once in the 81st. AZ Alkmaar had 22 shots to Willem II's 8, 5 on target.
Beşiktaş were three up by the 81st. Beşiktaş had 21 shots to Erzurumspor FK's 8, 6 on target.
- ✓Beşiktaş get twenty shots a game, more than most in the league.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held.
APR scored first, in the 32nd, and were never behind. APR were three up by the 75th.
A 1-1 draw. The reading held.
Little between them on chances: 15 shots to 14. C. Coosemans made 4 saves for Anderlecht.
West Ham were three up by the 48th. West Ham had 19 shots to Wrexham's 8, 9 on target.
- ✗Wrexham give up eleven shots a game, fewer than most sides in the Championship.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It did not hold. The outcome still matched the reading.
Karpaty won it by two. The reading held.
FC Copenhagen scored first, in the 7th, and were never behind. V. Dadason (FC Copenhagen) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 8.2.
AD Ceuta FC led in the 14th and lost it. AD Ceuta FC had 12 shots to Burgos's 7, 3 on target.
SV Darmstadt 98 won it in the 86th. J. Kersken made 4 saves for Arminia Bielefeld.
1. FC Nürnberg had 27 shots to Hannover 96's 9, 8 on target. L. Weinkauf made 6 saves for Hannover 96.
Thursday 10 September 5 of 10
Manchester United were three up by the 45th. Manchester United had 21 shots to Sabah FA's 11, 10 on target.
Bayern München were three up by the 77th. Bodo/Glimt finished with ten after a red card in the 87th, by which time it was already 4-0.
Shakhtar Donetsk scored first, in added time; PSV Eindhoven levelled it in the 48th. Little between them on chances: 10 shots to 8.
- ✓PSV Eindhoven are without Ouaissa, Mauro Junior and five others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
It held. The match still went the other way.
AS Roma led in the 39th and were pegged back, conceding once in the 48th. M. Svilar made 4 saves for AS Roma.
- ✓Fenerbahçe are without Asensio, Guendouzi and two others, a real gap up front.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held. The match still went the other way.
Como were three up by the 54th. Little between them on chances: 14 shots to 14.
- ✓RB Leipzig are without Baumgartner, Kone and two others, which thins their attack — already in the figures above.
No call was published; what we said held.
Slavia Praha had a man sent off in the 49th, with the match still level and most of the match to play. Slavia Praha led in the 51st and lost it.
- ✓Missing Provod, Holes and seven others leaves Slavia light up front.
1 other point on the card was not tested by this result.
It held.
SC Braga led in the 5th and lost it, conceding twice between the 45th and the 56th. Little between them on chances: 9 shots to 9.
Kifisia finished with ten after a red card in the 63rd, by which time it was already 1-0. Panathinaikos had 20 shots to Kifisia's 7, 9 on target.
Al Ain levelled it in the 82nd. Al Ain had 21 shots to Al-Wasl FC's 8, 8 on target.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai had 17 shots to Dubai United's 7, 4 on target. S. Ezatolahi (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.8.
Al-Jazira led in the 10th and were pegged back, conceding once in the 61st. M. Coulibaly (Al-Jazira) was the highest-rated player on the pitch, 7.7.